Year-Over-Year (YOY Growth): Calculation, Definition

Advantages, Disadvantages and Examples

year over year
This architect is calculating the year-over-year growth rate right now.. Photo: Klaus Vedfelt/Getty Images

Definition: Year-over-year measures statistical changes from one period, usually a month or a quarter, against the same period last year. The year-over-year growth rate is a percentage calculation that tells you how much the quantity measured has increased or decreased over the past twelve months.

Year-over-year is usually a more effective way of looking at performance than month-to-month, or quarter-to-quarter.

 Here's why. Let's say your business revenue rose 20% last month. Before you break out the bubbly, check it against the revenue from the same month last year. Your sales might be down year-over-year if sales typically rise 35% this time of year.

For this reason, whenever you are looking at a financial or economic report, make sure you know whether it is being compared to the last period (quarter, month, week, day) or if it's year-over-year. Also, check to see if you are comparing the calendar year or fiscal year.

Pros and Cons

The advantage of year-over-year comparisons is that it automatically negates the effect of seasonality. For example, employment statistics take a dive each June because school lets out, and teachers are no longer employed. A month-to-month comparison would show an alarming drop-off if you didn't know to take the seasonality into account.

Investors should have used the year-over-year comparison in June 2011 when only 18,000 jobs were added.

They panicked because it was less than the 54,000 jobs added in May and the 244,000 jobs added in April. Even worse, the unemployment rate rose to 9.2%. As a result, the stock market dropped, and the prices of safe haven investments like Treasuries and gold sky-rocketed. Thanks to that panic, gold hit an all-time high of $1,895 an ounce a few months later.

However, the year-over-year calculation showed that a million jobs had been added between June 2010 and June 2011. That showed the economy recovery hadn't been derailed. For more, see Current Jobs Report and Current Unemployment Report.

The only disadvantage of using year-over-year is if that's all you look at. It's a good idea to look at month-to-month as well to get the full picture. That's why most business news will report monthly trends. You have to look to find the year-over-year number.

How to Calculate the Year-Over-Year Growth Trend

To calculate the year-over-year growth rate, you need two numbers and, of course, a calculator. Then take these steps.

  1. Subtract last year's number from this year's number. That gives you the total difference for the year. Hopefully, it's positive and indicates a year-over-year gain, not a loss.
  2. Then, divide the difference by last year's number.
  3. That gives you the year-over-year growth rate.

Staying with the employment example, in June 2011 total employment was 131.017 million.

Total employment in June 2010 was 130.021 million. Here's how to calculate the year-over-year growth rate.

  1. Subtract 130.021 million from 131.017 million. The difference is .996 million, or 996,000.
  2. Divide .996 million by 130.021 million, last year's employment number.
  3. The answer is .8%. That's the year-over-year growth rate.

Examples

Most government statistics are month-to-month or quarter-to-quarter. You'll need to calculate the year-over-year numbers yourself to get the full picture. Here str three examples of  leading economic indicators where it's important to do year-over-year calculations:

  1. The most important is economic growth, as measured by Gross Domestic Product. It can be confusing because it reports quarter-to-quarter at an annualized rate. Is that year-over-year? Not exactly, although it has the same effect. It says how fast the economy grew in last quarter  Even though the growth rate is reported quarterly, it is annualized so it can be compared to the previous year. That means that, in any given quarter, the BEA reports how much the economy would produce for the entire year if it continued growing at this rate. It then compares this annualized rate to last quarter's annualized rate. Here's how to calculate the GDP growth rate
  2. Durable Goods: This is usually calculated month-to-month. However, y-o-y calculations warned of the recession as early as October 2006.
  3. Manufacturing Jobs: American has been losing manufacturing jobs on a monthly basis for years. However, when they started declining y-o-y in 2007, it was a sign of the coming recession. 

Also Known As: Y-O-Y, YOY, year over year, year to year

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