Who Owns the US National Debt?
The Biggest Owner Is You!
The U.S. debt was $23 trillion as of Dec. 5, 2019. Most headlines focus on how much the United States owes China, one of the largest foreign owners. What many people don’t know is that the Social Security Trust Fund, aka your retirement money, owns most of the national debt. How does that work and what does it mean?
The Debt Is in Two Categories
The Treasury owes this part of the debt to other federal agencies. In Dec. 2019, intragovernmental holdings totaled $5.9 trillion or 26% of the debt. Why would the government owe money to itself? Some agencies, like the Social Security Trust Fund, take in more revenue from taxes than they need. Rather than stick this cash under a giant mattress, these agencies invest in U.S. Treasurys.
This transfers their excess revenue to the general fund, where it is spent. They redeem their Treasury notes for funds as needed. The federal government then either raises taxes or issues more debt to raise the cash.
Which agencies own the most Treasurys? Social Security, by a long shot.
The U.S. Treasury publishes this in the Monthly Treasury Statement. The most recent data is from Sep. 2019. Here's the breakdown:
- The Social Security Trust Fund and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Fund - $2.887 trillion.
- Office of Personnel Management Retirement - $934 billion.
- Military Retirement Fund - $931 billion. This has become a big issue in funding our nation's defense and is only expected to grow.
- Medicare, which includes the Federal Hospital Insurance Trust Fund and the Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Fund - $307 billion.
- All other retirement funds - $266 billion.
- Cash on hand to fund federal government operations - $686 billion.
The public holds $17.1 trillion of the national debt. Foreign governments and investors hold 29% of it. Individuals, banks, and investors hold 17%. The Federal Reserve holds 11%. Mutual funds hold 9%. State and local governments own 5%. The rest is held by pension funds, insurance companies, and Savings Bonds.
The most recent complete breakdown from the U.S. Treasury is as of March 2019. The public debt at that time was $16.5 trillion. It's in the Treasury Bulletin, Ownership of Federal Securities, Table OFS-2. Here is the breakdown:
- Foreign - $6.7 trillion. (In Oct. 2019, Japan owned $1.16 trillion and China owned $1.11 trillion of U.S. debt. That's more than one-half of foreign holdings.)
- Federal Reserve - $2.46 trillion.
- Mutual funds - $2.01 trillion.
- State and local governments, including their pension funds - $1.04 trillion.
- Private pension funds - $440 billion.
- Banks - $769 billion.
- Insurance companies - $202 billion.
- U.S. savings bonds - $153 billion.
- Other holders such as individuals, government-sponsored enterprises, brokers and dealers, bank personal trusts and estates, corporate and non-corporate businesses, and other investors - $2.93 trillion.
If you add the debt held by Social Security and all the retirement and pension funds, almost half of the U.S. Treasury debt is held in trust for your retirement. If the United States defaults on its debt, foreign investors would be angry, but current and future retirees would be hurt the most.
Why the Federal Reserve Owns Treasurys
As the nation's central bank, the Federal Reserve is in charge of the country's credit. It doesn't have a financial reason to own Treasury notes. So why did it triple its holdings between 2007 and 2014?
The Fed needed to fight the 2008 financial crisis. In 2008, it ramped up open market operations by purchasing bank-owned mortgage-backed securities. In 2009, the Fed began adding U.S. Treasurys. By 2011, it owned $1.6 trillion, maxing out at $2.5 trillion in 2014. This quantitative easing stimulated the economy by keeping interest rates low. It helped the United States escape the grips of the recession.
Did the Fed monetize the debt? In a way, yes. The Fed purchased Treasurys from its member banks, using credit that it created out of thin air. It had the same effect as printing money. By keeping interest rates low, the Fed helped the government avoid the high-interest rate penalty it would incur for excessive debt.
On Sep. 29, 2017, the Federal Open Market Committee said the Fed would begin reducing its Treasury holdings in October. That put upward pressure on long-term interest rates. The FOMC meeting statement summary is a report of FOMC’s discussion regarding the nation’s economic outlook. It also includes the resulting vote on the interest rates and the monetary policies the Fed plans to follow.
Current Foreign Ownership of U.S. Debt
In Sep. 2019, Japan owned $1.16 trillion in U.S. Treasurys, making it the largest foreign holder. The second-largest holder is China which owns $1.10 trillion of U.S. debt. Both Japan and China want to keep the value of the dollar higher than the value of their currencies. That helps keep their exports to the United States affordable, which helps their economies grow.
Despite China's occasional threats to sell its holdings, both countries are happy to be America's biggest foreign bankers. China replaced the United Kingdom as the second-largest foreign holder on May 31, 2007. That's when it increased its holdings to $699 billion, outpacing the United Kingdom's $640 billion.
The United Kingdom is the third-largest holder with $334.1 billion. It's increased in rank as Brexit continues to weaken its economy. Brazil is next, holding $298.6 billion. It's followed by Ireland with $286.6 billion and Switzerland with $263.3 billion.
Luxembourg is sixth at $233.4 billion. The Bureau of International Settlements believes it is a front for sovereign wealth funds and hedge funds whose owners don't want to reveal their positions. So are the Cayman Islands, holding $225.1 billion, and Belgium at $208.3 billion.
Data are from various reports that are released at different times. As such, the numbers in this article may not add up to the total U.S. debt.
The Bottom Line
Many people believe that much of U.S. debt is owed to foreign countries like China and Japan. The truth is, most of it is owed to Social Security and pension funds. This means U.S. citizens, through their retirement money, own most of the national debt.
U.S. national debt is the sum of these two federal debt categories:
- Public debt – held by other countries, the Federal Reserve, mutual funds, etc.
- Intragovernmental holdings – held by Social Security, Military Retirement Fund, Medicare, and other retirement funds.
TreasuryDirect. “The Debt to the Penny and Who Holds It,” Accessed Dec.5 2019.
U.S. Department of Treasury. “Bureau of the Public Debt,” Accessed Nov. 20, 2019.
Bureau of the Fiscal Service, U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Monthly Treasury Statement. Table 6. Schedule D-Investments of Federal Government Accounts in Federal Securities,” Download Current Issue. Accessed Dec. 5, 2019.
U.S. Department of the Treasury. Treasury Bulletin. “Current Issue, September 2019,” Accessed Nov. 20, 2019.
U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities, Holdings 1,” Accessed Nov. 20, 2019.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities," Accessed Dec. 17, 2019.
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. "Press Release," Accessed Dec. 17, 2019.
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. "FOMC Statement," Accessed Dec. 17, 2019.
U.S. Department of the Treasury. "Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates," Accessed Dec. 17, 2019.
Department of the Treasury. “Petrodollars and Global Imbalances, Occasional Paper No. 1, February 2006,” Page 5. Accessed Nov. 20, 2019.