Unemployment Rate by Year Since 1929 Compared to Inflation and GDP
U.S. Unemployment Rate History
The unemployment rate is the percentage of unemployed workers in the labor force. It's a key indicator of the health of the country's economy. Unemployment typically rises during recessions and falls during prosperity, and it also has declined during five U.S. wars, especially World War II,. rising again in the recessions that followed those wars.
A Key Economic Indicator
The highest rate of U.S. unemployment was 24.9% in 1933, during the Great Depression. Unemployment was more than 14% from 1931 to 1940. Unemployment remained in the single digits until 1982 when it reached 10.8%. The annual unemployment rate reached 9.9% in 2009, during the Great Recession.
The lowest unemployment rate was 1.2% in 1944. It may seem counterintuitive to think unemployment can't get too low, but it can.
Even in a healthy economy, there always should be a natural rate of unemployment.
People move before they get a new job or are getting retrained for a better job. Others have just started looking for work and are waiting until they find just the right job. Even when the unemployment rate is 4%, it's difficult for companies to expand because they have a hard time finding good workers.
Unemployment swings tend to coincide with the business cycle, in that slow growth causes high unemployment. Naturally, as gross domestic product declines, businesses lay off workers and jobless workers have less to spend as a result; this feeds into the cyclical relationship between unemployment and the economy. Lower consumer spending reduces business revenue, which forces companies to cut more payroll to reduce their costs; this downward cycle can be devastating.
Keep in mind that the unemployment rate is a lagging indicator, meaning it continues to worsen even after economic growth improves. If you’re applying for jobs in a time of bad economic growth, know that companies remain hesitant to hire back workers until they are sure that growth is on a stable upward trend.
When the unemployment rate reaches 6%, the government steps in in the following ways:
- The Federal Reserve uses expansionary monetary policy and lowers the federal funds rate.
- If unemployment continues, Congress uses fiscal policy, directly creating jobs for public works projects.
- They also can stimulate demand by providing extended unemployment benefits.
U.S. Unemployment Rates Year by Year
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has measured unemployment since the stock market crash of 1929, and the following table shows how it has changed year by year along with other factors:
| Year | Avg. Unemployment Rate | GDP Growth | Inflation (Dec. YOY) | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1929 | 3.2% |
NA | 0.6% | Market crash |
| 1930 | 8.7% | -8.5% | -6.4% | Smoot-Hawley |
| 1931 | 15.9% |
-6.4% | -9.3% | Dust Bowl |
1932 |
23.6% | -12.9% | -10.3% | Hoover's tax hikes |
1933 |
24.9% | -1.2% | 0.8% | FDR's New Deal |
1934 |
21.7% | 10.8% | 1.5% | Depression eased thanks to New Deal |
1935 |
20.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | |
1936 |
16.9% | 12.9% | 1.4% | |
1937 |
14.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | Spending cuts |
1938 |
19.0% | -3.3% | -2.8% | FLSA starts min wage |
1939 |
17.2% | 8.0% | 0% | Drought ended |
1940 |
14.6% | 8.8% | 0.7% | U.S. draft |
1941 |
9.9% | 17.7% | 9.9% | Pearl Harbor |
1942 |
4.7% | 18.9% | 9.0% | Defense tripled |
1943 |
1.9% | 17.0% | 3.0% | Germany surrendered at Stalingrad |
1944 |
1.2% | 8.0% | 2.3% | Bretton Woods |
1945 |
1.9% | -1.0% | 2.2% | War ends. Min wage $0.40 |
1946 |
3.9% | -11.6% | 18.1% | Employment Act |
1947 |
3.6% | -1.1% | 8.8% | Marshall Plan negotiated |
1948 |
4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | Truman reelected |
1949 |
6.6% | -0.6% | -2.1% | Fair Deal; NATO |
1950 |
4.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | Korean War; Min wage $0.75 |
1951 |
3.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | Expansion |
1952 |
2.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% | Expansion |
1953 |
4.5% | 4.7% | 0.7% | Korean War ended |
1954 |
5.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% | Dow returned to 1929 level |
1955 |
4.2% | 7.1% | 0.4% | Unemployment fell |
| 1956 | 4.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | Min wage $1.00 |
| 1957 | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | Recession |
| 1958 | 6.2% | -0.7% | 1.8% | |
| 1959 | 5.3% | 6.9% | 1.7% | Expansion |
| 1960 | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | Recession |
1961 |
6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | JFK; Min wage $1.15 |
| 1962 | 5.5% | 6.1% | 1.3% | Cuban Missile Crisis |
| 1963 | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | LBJ; Min wage $1.25 |
| 1964 | 5.0% | 5.8% | 1.0% | Tax cut |
| 1965 | 4.0% | 6.4% | 1.9% | US enters Vietnam War |
| 1966 | 3.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | Expansion |
| 1967 | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | Min wage $1.40 |
| 1968 | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | Min wage $1.60 |
1969 |
3.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | Nixon took office |
| 1970 | 6.1% | -0.2% | 5.6% | Recession |
| 1971 | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | Emergency Employment Act; Wage-price controls |
1972 |
5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | Ongoing Stagflation; Watergate break-in |
| 1973 | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | CETA; Gold standard; Vietnam War ended |
| 1974 | 7.2% | -0.5% | 12.3% | Nixon resigns; Min. wage $2.00 |
| 1975 | 8.2% | -0.2% | 6.9% | Recession ended |
| 1976 | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | Expansion |
| 1977 | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | Carter took office |
| 1978 | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | Fed raised rate to 20% to stop inflation |
1979 |
6.0% | 3.2% | 13.3% | |
1980 |
7.2% |
-0.3% |
12.5% |
Recession |
1981 |
8.5% |
2.5% |
8.9% |
Reagan tax cuts; Min. wage $3.35 |
1982 |
10.8% | -1.8% | 3.8% | Job Training Partnership Act; Garn-St.Germain Act |
| 1983 | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | Reagan increased military spending |
| 1984 | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | |
| 1985 | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | Expansion |
| 1986 | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | Tax cuts |
| 1987 | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | Black Monday |
| 1988 | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | Fed raised rate |
| 1989 | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | Reforms made to address S&L Crisis |
| 1990 | 6.3% | 1.9% | 6.1% | Recession |
| 1991 | 7.3% | -0.1% | 3.1% | Desert Storm; Min. wage $4.25 |
| 1992 | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | NAFTA drafted |
| 1993 | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act |
| 1994 | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | School to Work Act |
| 1995 | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | Expansion |
| 1996 | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | Welfare reform |
| 1997 | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | Min. wage $5.85 |
| 1998 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | LTCM crisis |
| 1999 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | Euro. Serbian airstrike |
| 2000 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | NASDAQ hit record high |
2001 |
5.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | Bush tax cuts; 9/11 attacks |
| 2002 | 6.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | War on Terror |
| 2003 | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | JGTRRA |
| 2004 | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | Expansion |
| 2005 | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention Act; Katrina |
| 2006 | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | Expansion |
| 2007 | 5.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | EU became #1 economy |
| 2008 | 7.3% | -0.1% | 0.1% | Min. wage $6.55; Financial crisis |
| 2009 | 9.9% | -2.5% | 2.7% | ARRA; Min. wage $7.25; Jobless benefits extended |
| 2010 | 9.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | Obama tax cuts |
| 2011 | 8.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 26 months of job losses by July; Debt ceiling crisis; Iraq War ended |
| 2012 | 7.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | QE; 10-year rate at 200-year low; Fiscal cliff |
| 2013 | 6.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | Stocks up 30%; Long term = 50% unemployed |
| 2014 | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | Unemployment at 2007 levels |
| 2015 | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | Natural rate |
| 2016 | 4.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | Presidential race |
| 2017 | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | Dollar weakened |
| 2018 | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | Trump tax cuts |
- Average Unemployment 1929-1939
- Current Unemployment Rates
- GDP Growth Rate
- Inflation Rates Since 1913