Top 10 Economic Events in 2008
How the World Changed in Just One Year
In 2008, the face of the global economy changed forever. Investment banks, the secondary credit market, and an unregulated financial market disappeared. As the free market failed, the government bought a controlling share in banks and insurance companies. The central banks around the world propped up the financial system. In September of that year, America came very close to total economic collapse.
1. Fed Innovated to Replace a Failed Banking System. In 2008, Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke used innovations to allow the Fed to shore up the failed financial system. In March, the Fed launched the Term Auction Facility. It made short-term loans available to cash-strapped banks who wouldn't lend to each other. In October, the Fed made $540 billion in loans to bail out money market funds. In November, the Fed agreed to buy $800 billion in mortgage-backed securities in an attempt to lower interest rates.
In its role as the bank of last resort, the Fed became the only bank that was still lending.
2. Bear Stearns Bailout. In March, the Federal Reserve held the first emergency weekend meeting in 30 years to try to save the investment bank, Bear Stearns. It was in danger of going bankrupt thanks to bad MBS and other collateralized debt obligations. The Feds were afraid, and rightly so, that the failure of Bear Stearns would have spread to other over-leveraged investment banks. This included Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, and Citigroup. In fact, that's what later happened with Lehman's bankruptcy. By the end of 2008, Citigroup also needed a bail-out, even though it was a supposedly less-risky commercial bank.
3. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae Bailout. In September 2008, mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac became government agencies again. They held or guaranteed more than $5 trillion, or half, of the nation's mortgages. The U.S. Treasury Department bought $100 billion in preferred stock and MBS. The action came after Wall Street's panicked selling caused Fannie's and Freddie's shares to tumble. That made it impossible for these private companies to raise additional capital themselves. As a result, the Fannie and Freddie bailout cost the American taxpayer $187 billion. In August 2012, the Treasury decided it would send all Fannie and Freddie profits into the general fund. Since then, the bailout has been paid back with $58 billion in profit. Fannie remitted $147 billion and Freddie paid $98 billion.
4. Lehman Brothers Bankruptcy Triggered Global Recession. Treasury Secretary Paulson couldn't have known that his action would lead to a global recession. In September, he said no to government protection for Lehman's $60 billion in uncertain mortgage assets. It occurred during a weekend negotiation with potential buyers Barclay's and Bank of America. At the time, he thought the amount was too much. He was also being pressured to keep the government off the hook.
5. Fed Nationalized the American International Group. In September, the Federal Reserve bought shares in insurance giant, AIG. Why was AIG worth saving? Because it insured credit default swaps. They insured loans and mortgages against default. If AIG went under, so would all of these loans. Financial institutions around the world owned them. That included money market funds, pension funds, and retirement accounts. In November, the Fed increased the bailout from $85 billion to $150 billion.
6. Credit Markets Froze. In September, banks withdrew $160 billion from ultra-safe money market accounts. Banks hoarded cash to write-down bad mortgages and withdrawals in bank runs. By the end of the week, banks held $190 billion in cash. That was opposed to a $2 billion reserve. Hoarding led to an increase in the benchmark Libor. That raised the price on $360 trillion in loans and credit card assets. The credit freeze led to a cash shortage for many businesses. In response, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to zero, reducing Libor. Still, banks continued to hoard cash.
7. End of Investment Banking. In November, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley became regular commercial banks. They had been two of the most successful investment banks on Wall Street. That ended an era of deregulation and high risk.
8. Stock Market Crash. By the end of 2008, the Dow was down 34%, closing at 8,816.62. Other indices performed even worse. Standard & Poor’s 500 ended at 907.22, a 38% decline. The MSCI Europe Index was down 45%, and the MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 43%. The Dow fell 25% in October alone, from 10,831 on October 1 to 8,175 on October 27. It reached its low of 7,552 on November 20, a 46% decline from its October 2007 high of 14,164.
9. $700 Billion Bailout. On October 3, the Senate passed the $700 billion bailout bill, now called the Troubled Asset Relief Program. The program was initially designed to purchase toxic mortgages from banks, freeing up cash for more loans, but it took too long to implement. On October 14, the Treasury used $350 billion for the Capital Repurchase Program. It bought preferred stock in major banks. That gave the government ownership. By November, the funds were also used to keep credit card companies in business. By the end of the year, Citigroup and the auto industry also received bailouts.
10. Obama Won Presidency. Barack Obama won the presidency on November 3, 2008. He promised to provide sorely needed hope to jumpstart the stalled economy. His proposals helped restore confidence in financial markets. He streamlined regulatory agencies, improved transparency for financial disclosure, and cracked down on manipulative trading activities. His first priority was to pump $800 billion into the economy through tax cuts and jobs programs.
The Federal Reserve. "The Federal Reserve's Policy Actions during the Financial Crisis and Lessons for the Future." Accessed April 8, 2020.
The Federal Reserve. "Term Auction Facility." Accessed April 8, 2020.
T. Casey. "Legacy of the Crash: How the Financial Crisis Changed America and Britain," Page 62. Springer, 2011.
Frank J. Fabozzi. "The Handbook of Mortgage-backed Securities," Page 162. Oxford University Press, 2016.
The Federal Reserve. "Bear Stearns, JPMorgan Chase, And Maiden Lane LLC." Accessed April 8, 2020.
Sheila Bair. "Bull by the Horns: Fighting to Save Main Street from Wall Street and Wall Street from Itself," Page 121. Simon and Schuster, 2013.
Congressional Budget Office. "Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Role in the Secondary Mortgage Market," Page 8. Accessed April 8, 2020.
U.S. Treasury Department Office of Public Affairs. "Fact Sheet: Treasury Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement." Accessed April 8, 2020.
Congressional Budget Office. "The Budgetary Cost of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and Options for the Future Federal Role in the Secondary Mortgage Market," Page 11. Accessed April 8, 2020.
MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy. "Valuing the GSEs’ Government Support," Page 3. Accessed April 8, 2020.
J.P. Morgan. "10 Years After the Financial Crisis." Accessed April 8, 2020.
Federal Reserve Bank of New York. "Actions Related to AIG." Accessed April 8, 2020.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "The Credit Crunch of 2007-2008: A Discussion of the Background, Market Reactions, and Policy Responses." Accessed April 8, 2020.
Elizabeth Warren. "Stress Testing and Shoring Up Bank Capital," Page 14. DIANE Publishing, 2010.
Federal Reserve History. "The Great Recession." Accessed April 8, 2020.
U.S. Department of the Treasury. "TARP Programs." Accessed April 8, 2020.
Congress.gov. "H.R.1 - American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009." Accessed April 8, 2020.