There are several ways to line up investments to produce the income or cash flow you'll need in retirement. Choosing the best can be confusing, but there really isn't any single perfect setup.
In general, five approaches have met the test for many retirees. Each has its pros and cons, and their suitability can depend on your own personal circumstances.
- There are several ways to line up investments to produce the income or cash flow you'll need in retirement.
- The five main strategies are guaranteed outcome, total return, interest only, time segmentation, and the combination approach.
- Each strategy has its pros and cons, but each one can work. Make sure you understand the method you choose.
If you want to be able to count on a certain outcome in retirement, you can make it happen, but it will probably cost a bit more than a strategy that comes with less of a guarantee.
Creating a certain outcome means using only safe investments to fund your retirement income needs. You might use a bond ladder, which means buying bonds that would mature during each year of retirement. You would spend both the interest and principal in the year the bond matures.
Bonds do not technically guarantee returns, since there is an element of default risk. The safety of a bond investment is, in part, dependent on the creditworthiness of the issuer.
This approach has many variations. For example, you could use zero-coupon bonds that pay no interest until maturity. You would buy them at a discount and receive all of the interest and return of your principal when they mature. You could use treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS) or even certificates of deposit (CDs) for the same result, or you could ensure the outcome with the use of fixed annuities. There are also income annuities, which involve essentially paying a lump sum of cash in exchange for a guaranteed paycheck.
Income might not be inflation-adjusted
Might not leave as much for your heirs
Can require more capital than other approaches
Many investments that are guaranteed are also less liquid. What happens if one spouse passes away young, or if you want to splurge on a once-in-a-lifetime vacation due to a life-threatening health event along the way? Be aware that certain outcomes can lock up your capital, making it difficult to change course as life happens.
With a total return portfolio, you're investing by following a diversified approach with an expected long-term return based on your ratio of stocks to bonds. Using historical returns as a proxy, you can set expectations about future returns with a portfolio of stock and bond index funds.
Using a traditional portfolio approach with an allocation of 30% stocks and 70% bonds would let you set long-term gross-rate-of-return expectations at 7.7%.
If you expect your portfolio to average a 7.7% return, you might estimate that you can withdraw 5% per year and continue to watch your portfolio grow. You would withdraw 5% of the starting portfolio value each year, even if the account didn't earn 5% that year.
You should expect monthly, quarterly, and annual volatility, so there would be times when your investments were worth less than they were the year before, but that volatility is part of the plan if you're investing based on a long-term expected return. If the portfolio underperforms its target return for an extended period of time, you would need to begin withdrawing less.
Has historically worked for those who stick with a disciplined plan
Flexibility to adjust your withdrawals or spend some principal if necessary
Requires less capital if your expected return is higher than it would be using a guaranteed outcome approach
No guarantee that this approach will deliver your expected return
May need to forgo inflation raises or reduce withdrawals
Requires more management than some other approaches
Many people think that their retirement income plan should entail living off the interest that their investments generate, but that can be difficult in a low-interest-rate environment. If a CD is paying just 2% to 3%, you could see your income from that asset drop from $6,000 per year down to $2,000 per year if you had $100,000 invested.
Lower-risk, interest-bearing investments include CDs, government bonds, AA-rated or higher corporate and municipal bonds, and blue-chip dividend-paying stocks.
If you abandon lower-risk, interest-bearing investments for higher-yield investments, you then run the risk that the dividend may be reduced. That would immediately lead to a decrease in the principal value of the income-producing investment, and it can happen suddenly, leaving you little time to plan.
Principal remains intact if safe investments are used
Might produce a higher initial yield than other approaches
Could leave more for your heirs
Income received can vary
Principal can fluctuate, depending on the type of investments chosen
Requires knowledge of the underlying securities and the factors that affect the amount of income they pay out
This approach involves choosing investments based on the point in time when you'll need them. It's sometimes called a "bucketing approach."
Low-risk investments are used for the money you might need in the first five years of retirement. Slightly more risk can be taken with investments you'll need for years six through 10, and riskier investments are used only for the portion of your portfolio that you wouldn’t anticipate needing until years 11 and beyond.
Investments matched to the job they're intended to do
Psychologically satisfying—any volatility might bother you less
No guarantee that the higher-risk investments will achieve the necessary return over their designated time period
Must decide when to sell higher-risk investments and replenish your shorter-term time segments as that portion is used
The Combo Approach
Nothing says you have to choose just one of these four methods and stick with it. In a combo approach, you would strategically mix the above options to fit your goals.
For instance, you might use the principal and interest from safe investments for the first 10 years, which would be a combination of guaranteed outcome and time segmentation. Then you would invest longer-term money in a total return portfolio. If interest rates rise at some point in the future, you might switch to CDs and government bonds and live off the interest.
All of these approaches work, but make sure you understand the one you have chosen. Be willing to stick with that choice rather than changing direction every few years. It also helps to have predefined guidelines regarding what conditions would warrant a change.