National Debt by Year Compared to GDP and Major Events

U.S. Debt by Year Since 1929

Updated October 29, 2018

The U.S. national debt is more than $21 trillion. It exceeded that amount on March 15, 2018. It's greater than the economic output of the entire country. It occurred despite Congressional attempts to cut government spending. These included threats to not raise the debt ceiling and the U.S. debt crisis in 2011. That's when the U.S. headed toward a debt default. It continued with the fiscal cliff crisis in 2012 and a government shutdown in 2013.

Sequestration slowed, but didn't halt, deficit spending beginning in 2013.

You can't look at a country's national debt in isolation. Sometimes expansionary fiscal policy, such as spending and tax cuts, was needed to spur the economy out of recession. Other times, the United States increased military spending to respond to national threats.

For those reasons, the national debt by year should be compared to the size of the economy as measured by the gross domestic product. This gives you the debt to GDP ratio. You can use it to compare the national debt to other countries. It also gives you an idea of how likely the country is to pay its debt back.

The government creates debt with either excessive spending or deep tax cuts. If this expansionary fiscal policy boosts growth, it can begin to lower the debt. That's because a growing economy will produce more tax revenues to pay back the debt. The theory of supply-side economics says the growth will be enough to replace the tax revenue lost.

But that only occurs if taxes are too high, say above 50 percent of income.

There are other events that can increase the national debt. For example, the U.S. debt grew after the 9/11 attacks as the country increased military spending to launch the War on Terror. Between FY 2001-FY 2017, it cost $1.9 trillion.

This included increases to the Department of Defense and the Veterans Administration.

In the table below, the U.S. debt by year is compared to GDP and national events since 1929. Please note that the debt and GDP are given as of the end of the third quarter (September 30) in each year to coincide with the fiscal year. That's the best way to accurately determine how spending in each fiscal year contributes to the debt and to compare it to economic growth. Please note: GDP in the years up to 1947 are not available for the third quarter, so year-end figures are used.

National Debt by Year Since 1929: Compared to Nominal GDP and Major Events

End of Fiscal Year	Debt (as of 9/30, in billions)	Debt/ GDP Ratio	Major Events by Presidential Term
1929	$17	16%	Market crash. Depression reduced tax receipts so Hoover raised taxes which worsened depression. Smoot-Hawley tariffs reduced trade.
1930	$16	18%
1931	$17	22%
1932	$19	33%
1933	$23	39%
1934	$27	40%	FDR's New Deal increased both GDP and debt.
1935	$29	39%
1936	$34	40%
1937	$36	39%
1938	$37	43%	FDR cut spending to balance budget. Depression returned. He increased debt and GDP to prepare for WW2. Depression ended.
1939	$40	43%
1940	$51	50%
1941	$58	45%
1942	$79	48%	US entered WWII. Increased debt and GDP. WW2 end created recession.
1943	$143	70%
1944	$204	91%
1945	$260	114%
1946	$271	119%	Truman's 1st term budgets. Recession as economy adjusted to peacetime.
1947	$257	104%
1948	$252	92%
1949	$253	93%
1950	$257	89%	Truman's 2nd term. Korean War (1950-1953) boosted growth and debt, but created recession when it ended.
1951	$255	74%
1952	$259	72%
1953	$266	68%
1954	$271	70%	Eisenhower's budgets. Recession. Fed raised rates. Worsened recession.
1955	$274	65%
1956	$273	61%
1957	$271	57%
1958	$276	58%	Eisenhower's 2nd term. Recession.
1959	$285	54%
1960	$286	53%
1961	$289	52%
1962	$298	49%	JFK budgets. Cuban Missile Crisis. U.S. aided Vietnam coup.
1963	$306	48%
1964	$312	46%
1965	$317	43%	LBJ's budgets. War on Poverty. Vietnam War. Fed raised rates.
1966	$320	40%
1967	$326	38%
1968	$348	37%
1969	$354	35%
1970	$371	35%	Recession. Wage-price controls. OPEC oil embargo. Nixon ended gold standard. Fed doubled interest rates. Vietnam War ended.
1971	$398	34%
1972	$427	34%
1973	$458	32%
1974	$475	31%	Stagflation. Watergate.
1975	$533	32%	Ford budgets.
1976*	$620	33%
1977	$699	33%
1978	$772	32%	Carter budgets. Volcker raised rate to 20%. Iran oil embargo. Recession.
1979	$827	31%
1980	$908	32%
1981	$998	31%
1982	$1,142	34%	Reagan budgets from 1st term. Recession.
1983	$1,377	37%
1984	$1,572	38%
1985	$1,823	42%
1986	$2,125	46%	Reagan lowered taxes. S&L Crisis.
1987	$2,340	48%
1988	$2,602	49%
1989	$2,857	50%
1990	$3,233	54%	Bush 41 budgets. Desert Storm. Recession. Debt growth slowed.
1991	$3,665	59%
1992	$4,065	62%
1993	$4,411	64%
1994	$4,693	64%	Clinton budgets. Budget Act reduced deficit spending.
1995	$4,974	65%
1996	$5,225	64%
1997	$5,413	62%
1998	$5,526	61%	Last Clinton budgets. 9/11 attacks. Recession. Bush added $22.9 billion to FY01 budget for War on Terror.
1999	$5,656	58%
2000	$5,674	55%
2001	$5,807	55%
2002	$6,228	57%	First George W. Bush budgets. War on Terror cost $409.2 billion. Bank bailout cost $350 billion. Bush tax cuts.
2003	$6,783	59%
2004	$7,379	60%
2005	$7,933	60%
2006	$8,507	61%	War cost $752.2 billion. Katrina cost $24.7 billion. ARRA added $241.9 billion to FY09 budget.
2007	$9,008	62%
2008	$10,025	68%
2009	$11,910 ($11,000 on Mar 16 and $12,000 on Nov 16)	83%
2010	$13,562 ($13,000 on Jun 1 and $14,000 on Dec 31)	90%	Obama Stimulus Act cost $400 billion. Payroll tax holiday ended. War cost $512.6 billion. Great Recession and tax cuts reduced revenue.
2011	$14,790 ($15,000 on Nov 15)	95%
2012	$16,066 ($16,000 on Aug 31)	99%
2013	$16,738 ($17,000 on Oct 17)	99%
2014	$17,824 ($18,000 on Dec 15)	101%	War cost $309 billion. QE ended. Strong dollar hurt exports.
2015	$18,151	99%
2016	$19,573 ($19,000 on Jan 29)	104%
2017	$20,245 ($20,000 on Sep 8)	103%	Congress raised debt ceiling.
2018	$21,516 ($21,000 on Mar 15.)	104%	Trump tax cuts and spending above sequestration. Congress suspended the debt ceiling until 2019.
2019	$22,703 (est.)	108%
2020	$23,901 (est.)	108%
2021	$25,020 (est.)	108%