Why 681,000 Job Seekers Are Discouraged
Discouraged workers are those who want—and are available to—work, but have dropped out of the labor force because they believe there aren't any jobs for them. In June 2020, there were 681,000 workers categorized as discouraged. While these people looked for work within the past year, they have not looked in the past four weeks. However, discouraged workers would take a job if it were offered.
Discouraged workers do not include those who have dropped out of the labor force for other reasons. These are people who have gone back to school to better their chances of getting work. Many women leave the workforce because they've gotten pregnant. Other people can't work because they've become disabled. Although they may indeed also feel discouraged, they aren't counted as discouraged workers.
Who makes this determination? The Bureau of Labor Statistics, a division of the U.S. Department of Labor. It's in charge of collecting data on employment and unemployment in America.
Four Reasons Why Discouraged Workers Gave Up
There are four reasons discouraged workers gave up looking for work.
- Most of them have been unemployed for so long that they don't believe there are any jobs for their skills and abilities.
- They don't think they have the schooling or training needed to get a good job.
- A third reason was age discrimination when a potential employer thought they were too young or old. For example, there were 382,000 discouraged workers at the end of 2019. Of those, 27% were 55 or over. That's almost double the 17% unemployed who were 55 and over and hadn't given up looking for work.
- Some believe they've been discriminated against because of their gender or race. In 2019, 63% of discouraged workers were men. That's much higher than the 54% of unemployed men who didn't give up.
How Discouraged Workers Affect the Labor Force Participation Rate
Discouraged workers can reduce the labor force participation rate if unemployment is serious enough. At the beginning of a recession, the number of discouraged workers increases as the participation rate decreases. After looking for six months or more, many stop looking and drop out of the labor force. At that point, both the participation rate and the number of discouraged workers drop.
When the economy improves, discouraged workers return to the labor force. They may have the hardest time finding a new job, so their number could increase for a while. Eventually, the participation rate should increase and then stabilize as the number of discouraged workers drops.
In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic made it difficult for the unemployed to look for a job. Many simply dropped out until the labor market improved.
The LFPR fell from its peak of 67.3% in April 2000 to a low of 62.4% as of September 2015. It had dropped to 65.8% during the 2003 recession, but then rose to 66.4% in January 2007. What happened is due in large part to discouraged workers, as shown in this chart.
|Apr 2000||67.3%||Increase||331,000||Decrease||Labor force healthy at the end of the 1990s.|
|Jan 2005||65.8%||Decrease||515,000||Increase||Effects of recession.|
|Jan 2007||66.4%||Increase||442,000||Decrease||Labor force returned to health.|
|Dec 2010||64.8%||Decrease||1,318,000||Record high||Effects of recession|
|Feb 2012||63.7%||Decrease||1,006,000||Decrease||Workers left the labor force. Many were too discouraged. Others went to school or retired. Some were forced to quit due to illness.|
|Jan 2014||62.9%||Decrease||837,000||Decrease||Workers left the labor force.|
|Jan 2015||62.9%||Decrease||682,000||Decrease||Workers left the labor force.|
|Jan 2016||62.7%||Decrease||623,000||Decrease||Workers left the labor force.|
|Jan 2017||62.9%||Increase||532,000||Decrease||People returned to labor force as number of discouraged workers dropped.|
|Jan 2018||62.7%||Decrease||451,000||Decrease||People returned to labor force.|
|Jan 2019||63.2%||Increase||426,000||Decrease||People returned to labor force.|
|Jan 2020||63.4%||Increase||337,000||Decrease||People returned to labor force.|
Bureau of Labor Statistics. "Discouraged Workers." Accessed June 5, 2020.
Bureau of Labor Statistics. "Employment Situation Summary," Table A. Accessed July 2, 2020.
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. "Table 35. Persons Not in Labor Force by Desire and Availability for Work, Age, and Sex," Accessed May 8, 2020.
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. "Table 3. Employment Status of the Civilian Noninstitutional Population by Age, Sex, and Race," Accessed May 8, 2020.
Congressional Budget Office. "Factors Affecting the Labor Force Participation Rate of People Ages 25 to 54," Page 3. Accessed May 8, 2020.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. "Labor Force Participation Rate," Accessed May 8, 2020.