Is Bitcoin Mining Profitable?
Money can be made, but no method guarantees profit
Interest in cryptocurrencies has surged since 2015 as bitcoin has seen its value rise from about $300 per coin to a peak of about $20,000 per coin in December 2017, then dropping to about $8,000 per coin as of November 2019. Other cryptocurrencies have seen similar surges and dips in value. Nearly 3,000 cryptocurrencies are listed on investing.com, but two of the most popular alternatives to bitcoin include ethereum ($145 per coin, $15 billion market cap, as of Nov. 2019) and litecoin ($45, $2.9 billion).
While buying on an exchange like Coinbase is usually fairly simple and allows you to buy fractions of cryptocurrencies, there are those who prefer to mine their coins. The best option likely depends on individual circumstances.
Mining cryptocurrency seems like a no-brainer. Set up a computer to help solve complex math puzzles and you are rewarded with a coin or a fraction of a coin. The first bitcoin miners were able to earn coins relatively quickly just using what computing power they had in their homes.
By 2019, cryptocurrency mining has become a little more complicated and involved. With bitcoin, the reward is halved every four years. On top of that, serious miners have built huge arrays to mine, making it harder for smaller miners to compete. You can join a bitcoin mining pool to be more effective, but that comes with a fee, reducing your profits.
Some crypto miners instead opt for other currencies. Some other cryptocurrencies are worth very little in U.S. dollars, but it’s possible to use what you mine and convert it into fractional bitcoins on an exchange, then hope that bitcoin gains in value.
No matter what you decide to mine, you have to account for your setup costs, including, in some cases, graphics cards that can cost upward of $700 apiece. It’s possible to put together a basic rig for some of the less popular cryptocurrencies for around $3,000. However, some miners spend more than $10,000 on their rigs.
On top of building your rig, you also need to realize that you are going to be using quite a lot of power. If you have high power rates, you could end up spending quite a lot to mine coins—especially bitcoin. The electricity cost involved in mining a single bitcoin is more than $3,000 in the cheapest states. For states with higher electric rates, you could spend more than $6,000 in electricity to mine a single bitcoin. With the cost of one coin hovering at $7,000 as of December 2019, the energy costs alone don't make it worth it.
A less powerful rig mining alternative currencies could save you money. Even so, it can take several weeks, or even months, to recoup your original investment and become profitable.
Cloud mining involves purchasing time on someone else’s rig. Companies like Genesis Mining and HashFlare charge you based on what’s called a hash rate—basically, your processing power. If you purchase a higher hash rate, you are expected to receive more coins for what you pay for, but it will cost more.
Depending on the company you choose, you might pay a monthly fee, or you might pay according to the hash rate. Some companies also charge a maintenance fee. In general, cloud miners that allow you access to bitcoin come at higher rates.
In some cases, you might be required to sign a year-long contract, locking you in. If the value of the cryptocurrency drops, you could be stuck in an unprofitable contract.
As it is, depending on what you mine, it can take several months before your cloud mining investment becomes profitable.
However, at least with cloud mining, you don’t have to worry about power consumption costs and other direct costs related to doing all of the mining with your own rig.
The Long View
Investing in expensive equipment and spending in excess of $3,000 in energy bills to mine one bitcoin only makes sense if you believe the price of bitcoin will rise beyond the $3,000 to $4,000 range.
Buying bitcoins with hope of their value rising is equally risky. The market for cryptocurrencies is young, and for every analyst who sees great potential, there is another who expects the market to go bust.
Banks such as JP Morgan still view cryptocurrencies as unproven and likely to drop in value. Benoit Coeure, a board member with the European Central Bank, argued in January 2018 that cryptocurrencies could prove to be a good system for cross-border payments as long as there is an understanding of how to "control these gateways between the shadow-currency universe and the regular financial system." Less than a year later, he referred to bitcoin specifically as the "evil spawn of the financial crisis," while still acknowledging the broader potential of cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies remain a high-risk, high-reward investment with little consensus about the economic roles they will play in the coming years.