2009 Financial Crisis Explanation with Timeline

How They Stopped the Madness

For most Americans, the financial crisis worsened in 2009. In March, the stock market plummeted even more, panicking investors who thought the worst was over. Foreclosures rose, despite government programs that just didn't do enough. In October, the unemployment rate rose to 10 percent for the first time since 1982. 

The Obama administration pushed a $787 billion plan that created jobs. Economic growth finally turned positive by mid-year. Technically, the Great Recession was over. In reality, the damage was so deep that it took years before it felt like things were really getting better. For many who remained unemployed, lost their homes and credit rating, or were forced to take jobs at a far lower pay, things only got worse. The timelines of the financial crisis of 2007 and the financial crisis of 2008 reveal how these events came to be and how their early warning signals were missed by the government.

01
January

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January 12 - Banks reported losing more than $1 trillion ​since the beginning of the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007. That forced them to come up with $946 billion in capital to offset the losses. As a result, banks hoarded cash. That included the billions they received from the U.S. Treasury as part of the bank bailout.

02
February

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February 13 - Congress approved the $787 economic stimulus package initiated by President Barack Obama. It boosted economic growth by granting $288 billion in tax cuts, $224 billion in unemployment benefits, and $275 billion for "shovel-ready" public works. It also included a $2,500 college tuition tax credit, an $8,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers, and a deduction of sales tax on new car purchases. The Act extended unemployment benefits and suspension of taxes on those benefits through 2009. It provided  $54 billion in tax write-offs for small businesses. Later, the Fiscal Year 2011 budget added $64 billion to extend many of the credits.  It contained many of the key points promoted by Obama in his campaign platform.  Obama’s American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 was the fiscal stimulus that ended the Great Recession. 

February 18 - Obama announced a $75 billion plan to help stop foreclosures. The Homeowner Stability Initiative was designed to help the 7 million to 9 million homeowners avoid foreclosure by restructuring or refinancing their mortgage before they get behind in their payments. Most banks won't allow a loan modification until the borrower misses three payments. HSI provides a $1,000-a-year principal payment for borrowers who stay current. It's paid out of the Troubled Asset Relief Program funds.

February 27 - The Bureau of Economic Analysis’ final report revised its U.S. gross domestic product growth rate for the fourth quarter of 2008 to a negative 6.3 percent. That was worse than the 6.1 percent drop it reported in its preliminary report but better than the subsequent 8.1 percent decline. But it was also the worst slowdown since Q1 1982 when GDP fell 6.4 percent. A strong dollar coupled with the global recession cut exports. The recession in the U.S. caused domestic demand to slump. Economic growth for all of 2008 was an anemic 1.1 percent. 

03
March

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March 5 - The Dow dropped to 6,594.44, a total decline of 53.4 percent from its peak close of 14,164.43 on October 9, 2007. That was worse than any other bear market since the Great Depression of 1929. The Dow's closing history. reveals how it has bounced back since then.

04
April

The Making Homes Affordable Program was an initiative launched by the Obama administration to help homeowners avoid foreclosure. The Homeowner Affordable Refinance Program is one of its programs. It was designed to stimulate the housing market by allowing up to 2 million credit-worthy homeowners who were upside-down in their homes to refinance, taking advantage of lower mortgage rates

Unfortunately, banks were just too risk-averse to help those with less-than-stellar credit. Instead, they cherry-picked applicants. The Obama Administration introduced HARP in April 2009. Two years later, only 810,00 homeowners were helped. More than 90 percent were less than 5 percent upside down.

05
August

Foreclosures kept mounting, dimming hopes of an economic recovery. Banks could have prevented foreclosures by modifying loans. That would have hurt their bottom line, but record foreclosures at 360,149 in July only made things worse. July's foreclosure rate was the highest since RealtyTrac began keeping records in 2005. It was 32 percent higher than in 2008.

Banks thought it was more profitable to foreclose on a house than to make a loan modification, according to some industry analysts. Foreclosures continued to rise when the adjustable-rate mortgages came due at higher rates.

More than half or 57 percent of foreclosures were from just four states: Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada. California banks beefed up their foreclosure departments, expecting higher home losses. 

The Obama administration asked banks to voluntarily double loan modifications by November 1. The Making Home Affordable program generated more than 630,000 loan modifications. Some analysts said that banks were waiting for housing prices to improve before making loan modifications in the hopes they wouldn't lose as much profit.

06
October

The unemployment rate rose to 10 percent in October 2009, the worst since the 1982 recession. Almost 6 million jobs were lost in the 12 months prior to that. Employer added temporary workers, too cautious about the economy to add full-time employees. But the fields of healthcare and education continued to expand. This happens during a recession, as people often react to unemployment by either getting sicker from the stress or returning to school to get a new skill.

Meanwhile, a Federal Reserve report showed that lending was down 15 percent from the nation's four biggest banks: Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo. Between April and October 2009, these banks cut their commercial and industrial lending by $100 billion, according to the Treasury Department data. Loans to small businesses fell 4 percent, or $7 billion, during the same time period.

Lending from all banks surveyed showed the number of loans made fell 9 percent between October 2008 and October 2009. But the outstanding balance of all loans made went up 5 percent. That meant banks made larger loans to fewer recipients.

Why was bank lending down? A variety of reasons, depending on who you talk to. The banks say there were fewer qualified borrowers thanks to the recession. Businesses said the banks tightened up their lending standards. If you looked at the 18 months of potential foreclosures in the pipeline, it looked like banks were hoarding cash to prepare for future write-offs. They were also sitting on $1.1 trillion in government subsidies.

Bank of America pledged to President Obama it would increase lending to small and medium-sized businesses by $5 billion in 2010. But that's after they slashed lending by 21 percent or by $58 billion in 2009.

07
Why Not Let the Banks Go Bankrupt?

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There was a lot of anger about the billions in taxpayer dollars used to bail out the banks. Many people felt there was no oversight. They thought the banks just used the money for executive bonuses. Banks should not have been rescued for making bad decisions based on greed. The argument goes that, if we had just let the banks go bankrupt, the worthless assets would have been written off. Other companies would have purchased the good assets and the economy would have been much stronger as a result. In other words, the government should have let capitalism do its thing.

But that's what Former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson attempted to do with Lehman Brothers. The result was a market panic. It created a run on the ultra-safe money market funds. That threatened to shut down cash flow to all businesses, large and small. In other words, the free market couldn't solve the problem without government help. In fact, most of the government funds were used to create the assets that allowed the banks to write down about $1 trillion in losses. 

08
Effect

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The bank bailout bill stopped the bank credit panic, allowed Libor rates to return to normal, and made it possible for everyone to get loans.

Without credit market functioning, businesses are not able to get the capital they need to run their day-to-day business. Without the bill, it would have been impossible for people to get credit applications approved for home mortgages and even car loans. In a few weeks, the lack of capital would have led to a shut-down of small businesses, which can't afford the high-interest costs.

Also, those whose mortgage rates reset would see their loan payments jump. This would have caused even more foreclosures. The Great Recession would have been a global depression. The bailout affected you by lowering interest rates, making it possible for the housing market to recover.

On August 21, 2014, Bank of America agreed to pay the U.S. Justice Department $16.6 billion, the largest settlement in U.S. history. The settlement consisted of a $9.6 billion fine and $7 billion in help for people behind on their mortgages.

The bank must pay for bad mortgage-backed securities sold by Countrywide and Merrill Lynch. BofA bought them in 2008, saving them and strengthening the U.S. financial system during the banking crisis. Countrywide was one of the nation's largest mortgage lenders. Merrill Lynch was a premier wealth management bank.

These acquisitions were supposed to help Bank of America be better positioned in those markets when the recession ends. The idea was they would make the bank more diversified and competitive. Instead, uncertainty over who would pay for the bad debts hung over BofA ever since. In addition, the Bank paid more than $50 billion in penalties over the years.

This settlement was larger than the ones paid by Citigroup, which forked out $7 billion in July, and JPMorgan Chase, which spent $13 billion in November 2013.